Sunday, April 10, 2016

As the season winds down...

            I haven’t written much since earlier in the season.  This somehow went from a very exciting season to a kind of boring season quite quickly.  Other than Golden State and San Antonio most of the big stories are kind of depressing.  The other contenders for the title all seem like pretenders.  Frankly I think anyone knocking off Golden State would be an upset at this point and that includes San Antonio.  The Spurs are a great team but the Warriors have another gear that no one else can match.  Even the Spurs are left hoping that Golden State simply misses some shots and leaves them a window.  It’s a possibility but if I was a betting person I’d definitely bet on Golden State. 

     After Golden State and San Antonio the quality of the teams this season becomes significantly murkier.  Cleveland is a dysfunctional mess but they’re not even an exciting mess.  It’s just not that interesting dissecting cryptic Lebron James tweets.  It’s hard to tell if Cleveland will be beatable in the East.  The regular season means nothing to them and other than wrapping up the number one seed in the East there’s just isn’t anything for which they are playing.  Cleveland’s winning or losing is almost entirely built upon the greatness of Lebron.  They don’t run much of an offense.  If Love and Irving hit some shots and play ok then they generally win.  As a team Cleveland certainly doesn’t inspire much.  Miami looks like they might have a shot against them particularly if Bosh is able to come back.  That would be pretty ironic if Miami made it to the finals knocking out Lebron.  It’s clear that Riley is a much better puppet master than anyone else in the east.

       Toronto also qualifies as a positive story but given their post-season play the last couple years nothing they do in the regular season really matters until they put together some wins in the playoffs.  This season feels different for The Raptors but then again so did last season.  That’s pretty much it in the East.  Atlanta has played much better the second half of the season but it’s hard to imagine them doing anything against Cleveland.  The Hornets are a nice story.  Kemba Walker finally taught himself to shoot, but they too have no chance to win the East.  The Pistons have been fun but they’re still a few years away from any chance at contention.  It’s a good story though.  The bad stories seem to far outweigh the good.  Chicago has been the number one disappointment in the league (excepting perhaps the Rockets).  They just proved the other night that they’re a bad match up for Cleveland but they’ve been a mysteriously dysfunctional mess all season.  You get the feeling no one likes each other and that Hoiberg was not ready to coach an NBA team.  No way does Thibodeaux miss the playoffs with this team.  Milwaukee has to be disappointed taking a dramatic step back this season.  At least they have some nice cornerstone players.  Antetokounmpo looks like he might have found a role at point guard and Jabari is starting to look like he’s got some potential as a good player (it usually takes a solid year to come back from his kind of injury).  Middleton is a nice player but after that there’s not a whole lot there.  I’m not a fan of the Greg Monroe trade they made.  He can put up some numbers as he did with Detroit previously but he doesn’t do much for a team.  He also made them more conventional then they were last year.  The Knicks are dismal and depressing in every way.  The Unicorn is the only thing that keeps them interesting but I’m worried that it’s too appropriate of a nickname.  Unicorns are mythical beasts and they’re not real.  Towns is real.  He’s already a top 20 player in the NBA.  Porzingis is still a project.  It’s hard to know what he’ll end up being. 

            Washington is a huge disappointment as well.  They’ve got good players and I like some of their draft picks.  They’re long and interchangeable.  On paper I don’t understand why this team is not better.  I feel like a good coach could dramatically change the fortunes of this team next season.  How Randy Wittman is still an NBA head coach I’m not sure. 

            Brooklyn and Philadelphia are so depressing they’re not even worth talking about.  The only thing I’ll say further about Philly is that in a weird way while I totally disagree with how they’ve run their team, I’m not sure I agree with firing Hinkie.  I mean everyone in that organization had to sign off on this stupid plan.  What really changed such that they decided things weren’t working?  I suppose that while plenty of teams have tanked no one has ever taken it this far and probably never will again.  The stupidity of playing the numbers like they’ve done is that no matter how many draft picks you get the odds of getting a Lebron type talent are still bad.  It’s not worth historically sucking to add a few percentage points to your chance at a number one pick that might not even be as good as the 13th pick of the draft.  If Hinkie had nailed one draft pick that might have given him some leeway with Philly’s fans and their management and the NBA powers that be.  His picks were conventional and obvious and didn’t inspire any confidence that he was a good judge of young talent and potential.  His plan depended 100% on that ability.  One could say time will tell if it was all worth it but I don’t agree.  At this point they needed to have 1 player with potential star power to make that kind of losing palatable.  I could go on and on but who really cares about Philly.  Other teams will tank but no one will ever treat their players that poorly again…

            In the West it’s been great watching San Antonio and Golden State but most every other team other than Portland has been a huge disappointment.  The Rockets collapsed completely.  They should have kept Mchale as their coach.  The Clippers imploded and yet stayed afloat.  They’re still one of only two teams with a chance to knock off San Antonio or Golden State but they’ve stayed pretty much the same or are slightly worse while those other two teams have managed to get even better than last year.  OKC will always be dangerous with 2 transcendent talents but they still aren’t fun to watch and barely run an offense and have done a terrible job of putting pieces around Durant and Westbrook.  Memphis and Dallas had too many injuries and have limped into the playoffs.  They’re sad to watch.  Memphis as least has enough crazy dudes that if they play the Clippers it’d be worth watching for the drama.  Utah hasn’t really improved much from last season.  Other teams just dropped off giving them a window into the playoffs but they don’t inspire much.  At least they seem to play Golden State well, so that match up could at least lead to a few close games.

            Out of Sacramento, New Orleans, Denver, Minnesota, Phoenix, and L.A., only Minnesota seems to have any kind of hope for next season.  If they get a real coach they could be a playoff team with a lot of young potential.  It would really help if they could nail one more draft pick.  The other five teams mentioned above are barely worth talking about at this point.  Anthony Davis disappointed and the roster around him stinks.  Sacramento entertains only in a rubber necking sense.  I find Cousins reprehensible on the court.  He would easily be the least fun to play with of anyone in the NBA.  I can’t believe the shit he says to the refs.  I’m actually amazed he doesn’t get even more technical than he does.  Denver surprisingly, of the after thoughts in the West, might be the most on the right track.  At least they’ve gathered a few interesting young players and kept a few useful veterans around.  If they continue on that track and stay healthy next year (big ifs) they could be worth watching. 


            Hopefully the playoffs will turn this all around and we’ll get some exciting games but the second half of this season has been, for the most part, more about collapse than  achievement…

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