Saturday, November 14, 2015

Warriors vs. Timberwolves

Warriors vs. Timberwolves

     The Warriors are completely insane right now.  You’re missing out if you are not watching every minute of every game they play.  Their first 10 games have been historically dominant.  Curry is coming out at the beginnings of games and just immediately crushing the wills of opponents.  Teams quickly are becoming demoralized and decide they just can’t live with him going either one on one or getting a pick which necessitates a big man having to contain him so they are forced to double team.  He’s become so good at passing out of a double at the top of the key.  There’s a true art to this skill.  Most guys when they’re doubled struggle to get rid of the ball in a timely fashion and when they do get rid of it, it’s often in a release valve sort of way which gives the defense precious moments to recover.  The key is to get rid of the ball extremely quickly and to put the person you’re passing to in a position to immediately take action.  Curry is giving Draymond Green a pass so good that he’s literally stepping into a shot or a drive with no wasted movement.  Every split second counts when you’re trying to keep a defense on its heels.  You want them scrambling to keep up with you rather than you having to struggle to slip past them.  Green receives the ball and is either launching a 3 or dribbling down the lane.  At that point he’s either flipping a lob pass to the center (mostly Ezeli this year who has done a fantastic job finishing) or kicking the ball out to one of the corners where a shooter (Usually Thompson, Iguodala, or Barnes) is poised and ready to launch a shot.  This one play looks almost unstoppable right now.  
     A lot of teams in the league are trying to adopt the so called pace and space offense but what they are not taking into account is that the Warriors have a couple of unique players which make all of this possible.  Curry’s shooting is unmatchable.  There is just no other human on earth who crosses half court and is an immediate threat to score at any moment.  Most of his shots are shots that for any other player would be inexcusably bad ones.  Not only that, but his handle is great and he is capable of shooting off the dribble so well that your defense is immediately on its heels in a unique way that no other situation can quite match.  It’s really hard to get used to guarding someone in spots where you’ve never had to guard anyone else before.  Usually you’d say if you forced another player to take the long quick release 3s that Curry takes that you’d played good defense forcing a bad shot.  Curry makes teams immediately rethink every strategy on offense.  The 2nd thing that makes Golden State’s situation unique is Draymond Green.  There just aren’t many strong, fast, power forwards that can shoot reasonably well and can dribble really well and pass phenomenally.  He is basically the secondary point guard on the floor.  His reads as he goes down the middle of the defense are quick and accurate.  There are practically no other players with his offensive skillset that can also guard just about any position on the court, most especially big men.  When the Warriors go small and Green is matched up against a center he is putting them in an untenable situation when he gets the pass out of the Curry double team at the top of the key.  Most centers have trouble closing out and when they do he has the speed to go right around them.  This problem exists for the majority of power forwards as well.  Once Green is around his man and in the lane the defense is a full step behind and some quick ball movement will inevitably lead to an open shot.  The Warriors are deep, especially with Iguodala, but when Curry leaves the game they are quite vulnerable.  It’s his shooting that changes the dynamic of everything that happens on offense for them.  When Curry sat against Minnesota the machine disappeared and they looked like a beatable basketball team.  
     Wiggins is really starting to come into his own.  He’s way more aggressive than he was last year and you can see he believes more in himself and is confident in his ability to score against anyone.  I like his quiet laid back confidence with a sleeping underlying killer lying just beneath the surface.  Towns is going to be a super star.  He’s incredibly smooth and relaxed looking for a rookie big man.  He’s strong and fast and plays hard and he has a remarkably diverse skill set for someone so young.  His shot looks good and he’s got nice post moves.  The tandem of Towns and Wiggins is easily one of the most enticing in the league.  They’re both so young and talented and more importantly still have upside to their games.  With those two Minnesota is pretty much set with the foundation of their team for years to come.  
     I like Rubio a great deal because he can command an offense, but this game exemplified the biggest problem of his career thus far.  He can’t stay healthy and he misses so many games.  Minnesota’s offense runs so much better when he plays and they need him desperately on defense.  Zach Levine isn’t even remotely ready to run a team.  In fact I just don’t see him ever being a point guard.  He played some atrocious defense on Curry.  They need to absolve him of all point guard responsibilities and move him to off guard and let him play off of his physical skills.  When he does dribble it should simply be to drive to the basket, and when he shoots it should be because someone passed him the ball with the intent of having him put up a shot.  They need to simplify everything he does and condense all his moves into quick decisive actions.  It seems like their thinking of him developing and becoming Russell Westbrook but even if that was a possibility (which it’s not) I’m not convinced that was even the smartest way to develop Westbrook.  If OKC had made Westbrook a 2 guard who sometimes ran the offense it would have lessened his worst tendencies to pound the rock and dominate an offense.  Westbrook would immediately be the best two guard in the league if he played with a good point guard and OKC’s offense would be much more efficient and egalitarian and other players would have way more opportunities to get involved.  Please Minnesota keep this in mind in all things Levine.  
      If Rubio can’t stay healthy Minnesota can’t win.  But would that be a bad thing?  One more year of missing the playoffs and hopefully getting a high pick might push them over the hump next year.  It might be in Minnesota's best interest to lose a bit more this year then they’d like in order to be a better basketball team next year.  One more young piece would put them over the top.  Having said that they do have other young players I like.  Deng looked good for instance but it would be a great luxury if they could draft one last game-changing piece next year to go along with their talented young core.



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